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Thursday, August 21, 2025

8/21/25 Report - Storms, Seasons, and Weather Cycles for Beach Metal Detecting. Belief in Miracles. AI Shortcomings.

 

Written by the Treasureguide for the Exclusive use of the Treasure Beaches Report.


Source:nhc.noaa.gov.

After a long hot summer season of south winds, calm seas and building beaches, we are now deep into hurricane season and seeing more tropical activity on the map.  

Erin produced higher surf locally but for a short period.  They got bigger waves to the north of us. 

 Erin's impact is decreasing and the next system on the map slso seems to be heading north while remaining even farther out to sea.  It is too early to say much of anything about the system just leaving Africa.

Typically the winter months bring the Treasure Coast the highest average wave heights.  Spring waves are moderate, averaging less than winter, but occasionally we have some decent beach metal detecting conditions into March after the beaches have already been somewhat depleted by the winter weather.  

It won't be long before we are into Fall, which is characterized by increasing wave energy aided by the tropical storm activity followed by early cold fronts. 

Many hurricanes don't do much for the beaches, even with a direct hit.  For example, hurricane Andrew caused a lot of damage in South Florida but didn't cause much erosion to the Miami beaches where it landed.  The Miami beaches after Andrew looked very much like our Treasure Coast beaches looked yesterday.  Andrew was one of those that sent waves straight up onto the beach without much erosion except, of course, for a few spots where the beaches run less north to south, such as some areas on Key Biscayne, where there was some very good post-storm metal detecting.

We've had some very productive metal detecting in recent Falls, for example 2020 and 2022.  2020 had some very high surf combined with high tides.  That year, many of the barrier island beaches weren't cut but some of the beaches had very high water due to the combined effect of the storm surges and unusually high tides.  There were some good older shipwreck related finds then, including some from a 16th century wreck.

The December - February months bring some good winter storms, north winds and good erosion.  The winter brings some good cold fronts.  I often think of the times when it was near freezing on the beach.  Some of my best metal detecting days were in cold like that.  I've told about that before.  The cold blasts can provide a real test for some us hot weather adapted Floridians to work through. 

The day I found the most cobs I ever found was on a very cold day in December.  I remember being the only detectorists on John Brooks beach that day.  The bone chilling north wind was blowing maybe thirty mph.  One other detectorists walked onto the beach and after getting a good blast of the freezing air shook his head and turned around and left.  Back then I was still pretty much acclimated to cold weather and stuck it out.  

Here are the five coldest days in Fort Pierce for the last fifty years.



 They day I'm talking about must have been Dec. 24, 1989, which matches my memory, because I was driving from Fort Lauderdale to Palm Coast on Christmas Eve and stopped for some metal detecting on the way.  My wife stayed in the car while I was on the beach alone. I think I'll always remember that day.


My main point here is that we are going through the seasonal cycles and after a long slow hot summer, will soon be into a time of the year that has historically been better for metal detecting the beaches of the Treasure Coast.

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A Barna study (ordered by an evangelist) found that sixty-six percent of Americans believe people can be physically healed supernaturally by God...


There have been other awakenings or revivals in our country's history.  Such as what was called the Great Awakening, which, as Britannica says, was a "religious revival in the British American colonies, mainly between about 1720 and the 1740s.

The Great Awakening represented a reaction against the increasing secularization of society and against the corporate and materialistic nature of the principal churches of American society. A number of conditions in the colonies contributed to the revival: an arid rationalism in New England, formalism in liturgical practices, as among the Dutch Reformed in the Middle Colonies"... 

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As I've found and reported, Copilot, ChatGPT and Grok, while useful for metal detecting research, have some shortcomings besides occasionally being downright wrong.

Scientists discovered that versions of ChatGPT, Llama and DeepSeek were five times more likely to oversimplify scientific findings than human experts in an analysis of 4,900 summaries of research papers.

When given a prompt for accuracy, chatbots were twice as likely to overgeneralize findings than when prompted for a simple summary. The testing also revealed an increase in overgeneralizations among newer chatbot versions compared to previous generations...

Here is the link for more about that.




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Source: SurfGuru.com.

As you can see, a steady decrease in surf size is predicted for the next week.

Good hunting,
TreasureGuide@comcast.net