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Tuesday, July 28, 2020

7/28/20 Report - Storm Appears To Be Headed Right At Treasure Coast Now. Dangers of Over-Generalizing.


Written by the TreasureGuide for the exclusive use of treasurebeachesreport.blogspot.com.

Bottle Photo With Inset Showing Enlarged Spec.



There are a lot of good things being found.  Photos will be posted when permitted.  I don't think it will be too long from now.

You know how when the kids and dogs are making a ruckus in the other room, and all of a sudden it gets real quiet?  You know from the quiet that something is going on.  I thought it was too quiet in some quarters, and it turns out I was right.

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I was taking photos of the bottle shown above one day and noticed a strange black speck that appeared in one photo.  I did my best to enlarge the speck to see if I could tell what caused it.  You can see that in the photo.

My brother-in-law thought I was the luckiest person in the world to have captured a photo of a UFO.  I thought it could possibly be some sort of reflection from dust on the camera lens or something, although it did not appear in the photos I took just seconds before with the same bottle and background, and it did not appear in photos I took just after that.  An excellent photographer thought that might be a bug caught flying by, but he also pointed out how similar it looked to an object shown in a video  recently released by the Pentagon.  Here is that link.


I don't know what I caught in my photo.  I don't jump to conclusions without compelling evidence, but what I do know is that people look at things differently.  My brother-in-law was sure I captured a UFO.  Other people had other ideas.   

When you look at the world, you see a part of yourself.  Your brain affects your perceptions and how you interpret things.  

There are differences in how people process information.  You've probably heard the expression about not being able to see the forest for the trees, but it works the other way too.  Sometimes people can't see the trees for the forest.  By that I mean that they look at the general and don't see the specifics.  And sometimes they distort the specifics to fit their preconceptions.  That is one way to avoid learning.

In metal detecting, there are those old generalizations we've all heard, such as heavy objects sink deeper, or big waves create erosion and improve beach conditions.  Those generalizations are true to some extent, at least some of the time, but they aren't always true and they aren't completely true.  Life is usually more complex, and there are multiple factors.

If you believe that big waves result in good beach hunting, you would have been very disappointed if you visited South Beach Miami right after Hurricane Andrew.  There were high waves and the water washed up over the beach, but it created almost no erosion along a very long stretch.  I think most of us now acknowledge that the direction of the waves have something to do with it, as does the angle of the beach - not to mention even more factors.  Andrew did erode and open up some good hunting in other nearby areas, such as Key Biscayne.

There are different kinds of beaches.  The easy contrast is a beach like John Brooks that can be contrasted with a beach such as Turtle Trail.  One is wide and low.  The other is narrower and has a sharp dune cliff at the back.  They work differently in some respects.

What is true of one beach may not be true of another.  The way eight foot waves change a beach when the waves come straight from the east might be different than how eight foot waves change a beach when they come from the north.  

What I'm saying is that things are usually fairly complex and many of the generalities that we hear repeated, while they might be useful to some extent, do not tell the entire story.  Things might seem simple on the surface, but when you are curious and dig a little deeper, you find out there is more to the story.

It is often said that heavy objects sink faster and are found deeper.  That is sometimes true, but you'd be more accurate if you talked about density and other factors such as the shape of the object.  Sometimes you'll find lead sinkers near the surface and above much lighter objects.  It happens.  It could be that the sinkers were recently dropped and haven't had time to sink, but if you just attribute the difference to time, you ignore the forces at work that actually causes things to end up where they do.

My main point today is that simplistic generalizations can be helpful, even when they are not entirely accurate, but there are usually additional factors that need to be considered if you want to be more accurate and precise.

Some people keep it simple.  They like broad sweeping generalizations, but others like to be more specific and precise.  Some people like to make things fit into a few big categories, while other people like to pay attention to the specifics, the details and the exceptions to the big generalizations.  That is the big reason we have so much division in our country.  Did you notice, for example, that BLM is completely antithetical to the dream of Martin Luther King. The dream of considering people as individuals instead of judging them by their skin color is the exact opposite of making everything about skin color.  BLM puts people into big categories (black and white), while MLK was trying to break people out of those categories.  That just shows that the differences in how people process information applies to all kinds of things - not just treasure hunting.

There are those that can't, or won't, see the trees for the forest, as well as those who can't see the forest for the trees.  The first group sees the generalities and tries to make everything fit into their broad categories, and the other group pays a lot of attention to specifics, including the exceptions to the general rule.  

The general application to treasure hunting that I want to bring out today is use your generalities, but realize that there are usually more factors to be taken into account.  Test your generalities though.  And when you find cases that don't fit, instead of explaining them away or forcing them to fit your  preconceptions, consider changing your mind.  One of the biggest obstacles to learning is mistaken confidence.  Learning requires an open attitude and is facilitated by a humble questioning mind.  You can easily avoid it.

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William Shakespeare wrote, "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy.  

In Corinthians 13:12 St.. Paul says, "For now we see through a glass, darkly; but then face to face: now I know in part; but then shall I know even as also I am known.

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Cone For Tropical Cyclone Nine.
Source: nhc.noaa.gov

The cone for tropical cyclone Nine is headed directly at us now.  The prediction is for it to hit near us as a tropical storm around Sunday morning, but it is too early to tell for sure.

Keep watching,
TreasureGuide@comcast.net