4/8/22 Report - Mystery Item Identified. Hurricane Season Forecast. Markings.

 

Written by the Treasureguide for the exclusive use of the Treasure Beaches Report.

Mystery Bolt.

I posted this mystery item several days ago, and just got a great repsonse.

James H. had the following to say.

Looks like the bolt of a fire wall mount starter solenoid. Still with the Bakelite plastic on it.They break like that when you over tighten the nut.  Other old car items were found not too far away in the past.

I think that is a good possibility, but never would have got it on my own.  Thanks James.

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DJ sent me the following comments and link.

Early forecast from the original hurricane forecasting institution. Dr. William Gray was the first researcher to predict fairly accurate seasonal tropical storms.

I always thought it interesting that in any year, major, hurricane and named storms are halved. If there are 20 named storms, there are approx. 10 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes. This year it is 19, 9 and 4.

Forecast link:     https://tropical.colostate.edu/forecasting.html

Below is some of what you will find there.

Forecast Parameters	CSU Forecast for 2022	Average for 1991-2020
Named Storms	19	14.4
Named Storm Days	90	69.4
Hurricanes	9	7.2
Hurricane Days	35	27.0
Major Hurricanes	4	3.2
Major Hurricane Days	9	7.4
Accumulated Cyclone Energy+	160	123
+A measure of a named storm’s potential for wind and storm surge destruction defined as the sum of the square of a named storm’s maximum wind speed (in 104 knots2) for each 6-hour period of its existence.

CSU released its first extended range forecast for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season on 7 April 2022.

We anticipate that the 2022 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity.

Current weak La Niña conditions look fairly likely to transition to neutral ENSO by this summer/fall, but the odds of a significant El Niño seem unlikely. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic are currently near average, while Caribbean and subtropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures are warmer than normal. We anticipate an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.

Thanks Dj.

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It is always nice to find helpful markings on a find.  Of course, what is helpful depends upon you - what you know and the research you do.

A couple days ago I told about how the incomplete information on a piece of an unimportant ironstone marmalade crock led from one discovery to another.

Even when a find is not valuable, inspect it for any additional identifying information.  You might have to clean the item first, and on an worthless item, that might seem like a waste of time, but it might turn out to be worth the effort.  

I've said this before, but sometimes digging a find is just the beginning of a longer and more interesting search.  

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Source: MagicSeaweed.com.

Looks like the possibility of some higher surf in the near future.

I've been dealing with some family medical problems lately, and might miss posting a day or two.

Good hunting,

TreasureGuide@comcast.net

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Information, Inspiration, Investigation

Identification, imagination,