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Monday, October 7, 2024

10/7/24 Report - Watching Hurricane Milton Developments and Predictions. 7 -9 Foot Surf Today.


Written by the TreasureGuide for the exclusive use of the Treasure Beaches Report. 

Source: nhc.noaa.gov.


The big news for us today is Milton.  Above is a recent prediction for Milton.  Of course, you can't pay a lot of attention to the center tracking line.  

The models are generally predicting landfall somewhere around Tampa or the Big Bend area (GFS)  again.  The GFS model is showing a landfall more north than the ECMWF model.  

The NHC track shows the possibility of the storm making landfall around the Tampa area and proceeding across the state to somewhere around the Cape Canaveral area.  The predictions have barely changed since Saturday.  As you can see the Treasure Coast is still in the cone and we all need to be prepared.

For metal detecting, it looks like when Milton crosses the state and goes back out into the Atlantic, we could very well get some strong north winds and swells, leading to a high surf combined with continuing high tides.

Below is the windyty.com output showing the ECMWF model's projection for Thursday morning.

ECMWF Output from Windyty.com.

Notice the strong north winds.  The GFS shows something very similar.  Most models show something similar.  Some show a difference in timing and exact location, but I'm expecting some strong north winds and high surf for the Treasure Coast after the storm passes.


Source: surfguru.com.

The higher surf is starting to look less like a one-day big event.  A 7 -9 foot surf is shown for today and more high surf towards the end of the week.

Good hunting,

TreasureGuide@comcast.net