8/25/23 Report - Tropical Activity and Outlook For Beach Metal Detecting Conditions. Wonder of It All: Seen and Unseen.

 

Written by the TreasureGuide for the exclusive use of the Treasure Beaches Report.

Source: nhc.noaa.gov

There has been a lot of tropical weather lately.  I'm hoping that something will come along that will move a lot of sand and improve beach metal detecting conditions after a long summer and a lot of renourishment projects from the not-too-distant past.  It doesn't take a direct hit by a hurricane.  The 1984 Thanksgiving Storm that I've talked about in the past is a good example of that.

As you can see from the NHC map shown above, there is a lot going on.  You can see the one system that is expected to affect the Gulf Coast and West Florida.  It should develop but not become a hurricane.  That one might affect us in one way or another.  It will interact with Franklin.  

Below you can see the cone of uncertainty for Franklin.

Source: nhc.noaa. gov.

Franklin is expected to be a hurricane and move north but stay far east of Florida.  Below you can see Franklin as predicted for Monday.

Source: Windy.com.

You might expect Franklin to be sending us some north winds when it is located to the northeast of us, but if you look closely at the area along our coast, you'll see that we are actually supposed to get south winds at that time.

I've run a couple models on windy.com, and it appears that we will be getting some east/northeast winds Friday and Saturday and maybe into Sunday before the winds shift to become more easterly and then southerly.

Windy.com is predicting our biggest waves to be on Friday and Saturday, but nothing more than four feet.  That isn't a lot, especially considering the amount of accumulated sand.

Source: windy.com.

Above is a snipping from windy.com showing the other system hitting the Florida West Coast Wednesday.  That should help their beaches.  Notice also the south winds it will be steering our way on Wednesday.

I expect some spotty erosion in the next few days, but not nearly the big event I would like to see.

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I talked about successive approximations just the other day, and how we are always imprecise or inaccurate to some extent.  The earth being not really round, is one example I used.

When I woke up this morning, the following verse came to me -  Eye has not seen, nor ear heard, nor mind of man conceived of what God has prepared for those that love him.  That verse sums up so much of what I've been talking about.  We see so little of the wonders of existence, though in our finer moments, a little more slips in.

You might go to the beach and imagine what lies hidden beneath the sand.  But the few trinkets we imagine is hardly anything compared to the many wonders that surround us.

We see a beach, but not the grains.  With a somewhat trained eye, we see familiar shapes that suggest what happened in the past few days,  We see much more than the untrained eye can see, but still, we do not see the individual grains (large or small, rounded or rough) and the features that will determine the amount of stability, such as the interstitial spaces of compact or loosely packed sand.  Fishermen see the signs of sand fleas while most people remain oblivious to such things.  It is easy to walk around noticing only the most glaring impacts upon our senses.

Our senses are only sensitive to an infinitesimally small range of stimuli. The physical organism of us focuses first on survival needs, such as heat, energy, hydration, signals of danger, and with whatever processing power is left over, on things that are not so directly related to our immediate survival needs.

As the lowly caterpillar eats, molts, pupates, and does a complete change of body types while transforming from a caterpillar to a butterfly before laying eggs to restart the cycle, we wonder how the minuscule newly hatched creature "knows" how to do all of that.  The tiny creature effectively pursues its purpose through the intelligent activity of an organized clump of cooperating living cells.  What intelligence guides it all?  Surely not the creatures evolving tiny brain.  

Scientists wonder how a single cell can be intelligent, as appears to be the case.  (See Why Do Many Scientists See Cells as Intelligent? | Mind Matters)   They tend to look at intelligence as coming from the cells, rather than the cells existing in an intelligent field.

There are those who absolutely "know," and demand what others must think, say and do, but such certainty rides a horse of ignorance.  

Certainty provides flimsy support for the emotionally unstable, who need authoritarian controls to make them feel safe in what they see as a very dangerous and threatening environment.  If your foundation was so illusory, you would feel frightfully endangered too.

When I recently talked about only being able to approximate reality and never being able to accomplish complete precision, I was talking about the same thing as the verse that came to me this morning and the wonders that lie beyond our comprehension.

They say there is no God because they do not see him, but they hardly see anything, and most of the things they believe in, they do not see.  They speed in a steel vehicle and expect it to stop when they push on a pedal.  They mostly believe in what they do not see, but they do not believe in what sees them.

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The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City hosts dozens of central bankers, policymakers, academics and economists from around the world at its annual economic policy symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming every year around this time.

I liked to go to Jackson Hole this time of year.  I wish I could go this year but haven't been able to for a few years.  I love staying a the Jackson Lake Lodge. Amazing breakfast buffet.  Best I've ever had.  Window table overlooking the Grand Tetons.  I'm missing that right now.

Good hunting,

Treasureguide@comcast.net