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Wednesday, August 30, 2023

8/30/23 Report - Idalia Hits Big Bend Expected To Reemerge in Atlantic Sending Winds and Surf Our Way Again.

 

Written by the TreasureGuide for the exclusive use of the Treasure Beaches Report

Source: nhc.noaa.gov.

You can see the cone for Idalia.  It is probably a good thing that it stayed out from Tampa and hit a little farther north, although it looks like it was pretty nasty up there.  The thing I haven't been talking about is what it is going to do after it crosses land and ends up over the Atlantic.  It reminds me of the hurricane in 2004 (Francis, I think) that went north and then turned around and came back to hit us.  It doesn't look like Idalia will come back at us, but you do see a little southward movement as it heads out into the Atlantic.  Even if it doesn't come back to Florida, it looks like it will be sending us some bigger surf once it gets out into the Atlantic again.

The Friday 1PM ECMWF model shows the following on Windy.com.

Friday 1 PM Output of ECMWF Model From Windy.com.

The ECMWF Model on Windy.com shows Idalia emerging in the Atlantic and north/northeast winds along the East Coast of Florida coming off of Idalia.


Source: nhc.noaa.gov

There is a lot of other activity out in the Atlantic.  Franklin hasn't disappeared yet, and there is Tropical Depression eleven.

Here is what Surfguru is shows for the Sebastian Inlet area.

SurfGuru.com data for the Sebastian Inlet area.

I'm not real confident with some of the Surfguru data.  If you click on the tide chart, it will give you the height of the tides and times of high and low tide.

Here is the surf chart for the Sebastian Inlet area.



Source: SurfGuru.com.

Wednesday and Thursday the Sebastian Inlet area should see four to six foot surf.  Notic that Sunday and Monday, it will be a touch bigger.

You might remember that some of the most recent 1715 Fleet beach finds were made down south, so here is the surf chart for the Stuart Rocks area.

Source: SurfGuru.com.

That chart shows a slightly higher surf for Wednesday and Thursday as well as a six to eight foot surf for Sunday and a seven to eight foot surf for Monday.  

SurfGuru is also showing bigger tides (4 ft., high tide) for the Stuart Rocks area.

So, not only do we have some higher surf Wednesday and Thursday, but watch for an even higher surf, by a couple feet, Sunday and Monday.

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Drew visited John Brooks Tuesday morning and Turtle Trail Monday.  Here is his report.

Spent about an hour at John brooks this morning.
Still sanded in. Got a couple targets at the high tide line all 8-12 inches down. 1 bottle cap, 2 weights and several cans. There were a few large waves but sea looked pretty calm for the most part. May come back out at lowtide depending on weather. 

Was at turtle beach trail yesterday morning also mostly sanded in.
Have a great day!
~Drew 


Thanks much for sharing, Drew.

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I'm using new resources this year because of the changes to MagicSeaWeed that I used a lot in the past.  Some of the new sites don't seem to mesh well.  There are some things I need to validate and check out better.  Some of the sites don't seem to mesh or correlate well.  I'll have to figure that out.

Of course, I'll keep following developments.  If anyone has been out metal detecting the beaches, I'd appreciate any reports.

I have a lot of other posts planned that I'll get too when the weather calms down.

Remember those that need help,
TreaureGuide@comcast.net