Written by the Treasureguide for the exclusive use of the Treasure Beaches Report.
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| Mondy Morning Cone for Hurricane Idalia. Source: nhc.noas.gov. |
Franklin is to the east of Florida and will be headed northeast. You can see the cone for Idalia.
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| ECMWF Model Product from Windy.com For Tuesday 10PM. |
Idalia will be headed north today and the center is expected to be just west of Tampa on Tuesday evening.
Regarding Florida East Coast impacts, DJ sent me an excerpt from one report that says, …"Incoming swell from Hurricane Franklin combined with winds from Idalia will likely lead to high seas, rough surf, an increase in life-threatening rip currents, and beach erosion Tuesday into Wednesday."
While I have a lot of faith in the weather predictions, they aren't quite as good at predicting erosion. Seems they just warn of erosion every time there is high water.
If you run the ECMWF model on Windy.com, you'll see that we get south winds most of the time. You can see that in the clipping shown above.
As I mentioned yesterday, there are some spots that are vulnerable to south winds and when the tides and water are high, south winds can cause erosion. Given the angle, I'd say it is a distinct possibility. We saw something similar a year or two ago.
It looks like the peak Treasure Coast waves will be four to five feet on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Here is the present report from SurfGuru for the Vero Pier.
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| Source: SurfGuru.com. |
Virtually no wind this morning at 8:20 AM
Here is the surf prediction chart from SurfGuru.
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| Source: Surfguru.com. |
I don't have a lot of experience using SurfGuru. As you probably know, I used MagicSeaWeed.com for years. I suspect SurfGuru will be pretty much the same, but I'll be checking to see how well it works for predicting Treasure Coast beach metal detecting conditions.
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If you get out to check things out, let me know what you are seeing. Send some photos.
Good hunting,
Treasureguide@comcast.net